Will ABIONYX Pharma (EPA:ABNX) Spend Its Cash Wisely?
Even when a business is losing money, it’s possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. By way of example, ABIONYX Pharma (EPA:ABNX) has seen its share price rise 183% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky ABIONYX Pharma’s cash burn is. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its ‘cash runway’.
See our latest analysis for ABIONYX Pharma
Does ABIONYX Pharma Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company’s cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at June 2021, ABIONYX Pharma had cash of €4.8m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was €5.4m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 11 months from June 2021. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is ABIONYX Pharma’s Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Although ABIONYX Pharma had revenue of €27k in the last twelve months, its operating revenue was only €27k in that time period. Given how low that operating leverage is, we think it’s too early to put much weight on the revenue growth, so we’ll focus on how the cash burn is changing, instead. Its cash burn positively exploded in the last year, up 1,146%. With that kind of spending growth its cash runway will shorten quickly, as it simultaneously uses its cash while increasing the burn rate. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can ABIONYX Pharma Raise Cash?
Given its cash burn trajectory, ABIONYX Pharma shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company’s cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year’s operations.
ABIONYX Pharma’s cash burn of €5.4m is about 8.0% of its €68m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year’s growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.
Is ABIONYX Pharma’s Cash Burn A Worry?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought ABIONYX Pharma’s cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Summing up, we think the ABIONYX Pharma’s cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 7 warning signs for ABIONYX Pharma (3 shouldn’t be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course ABIONYX Pharma may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.